Quick-Pneumonia
0x52c8a615f996ced4445b313cced5a07c5e0b1b36
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-936.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
19050 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-63.47
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
13515 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-175.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
559 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-239.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
433 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
289 shares @ 69.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$35.42Mar 11, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$10.00Mar 11, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$14.59Mar 11, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.01Mar 11, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$10.00Mar 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.00Mar 11, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.79Dec 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$3.70Dec 12, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$34.25Dec 12, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$10.00Dec 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$10.00Dec 12, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.2KDec 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$485.35Dec 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$52.10Dec 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.6KDec 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.44Dec 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$26.05Dec 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.73Dec 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$7.47Dec 12, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$100.00Dec 12, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $138.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 17:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 05:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.