0x52c9754953975c8c446237f94beb9436631f25ed
0x52c9754953975c8c446237f94beb9436631f25ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$30.05
Total PnL
$-12.19
Realised
$-1.13
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$10.03
$0.12
- NO
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $200-$202 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Myles Garrett win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$10.01
$0.02
- NO
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
10 shares @ 74.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
5 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$10.01Mar 17, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$10.01Mar 17, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$10.01Mar 17, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?$10.01Mar 17, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $198-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?$20.02Mar 17, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.03Jan 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.44Jan 7, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$0.00Jan 7, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?$0.00Jan 7, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $198-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?$0.00Jan 7, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$0.00Jan 7, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $200-$202 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?$0.00Jan 7, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$4.98Jan 7, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.00Jan 7, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.99Jan 7, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$3.23Jan 7, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.65Jan 7, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.23Jan 7, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.81Jan 7, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.02Jan 7, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 10:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.