Crushing-Workhorse
0x52e171d83a513fa19a752f776d07536693486638
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$24.06
Total PnL
$5.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$4.76
$3.76
- YES
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$3.92
$1.92
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 53.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$3.74
$1.74
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.94
$1.94
- YES
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$2.78
$1.78
- YES
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.63
$1.63
- YES
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will there be another debate?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during California rally on October 12?$0.00Oct 14, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during California rally on October 12?$1.19Oct 14, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?$4.76Oct 14, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$1.00Oct 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$1.00Oct 10, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$1.00Oct 10, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be another debate?$1.00Oct 10, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be another debate?$1.00Oct 10, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?$1.00Oct 10, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 10, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 10, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during California rally on October 12?$1.00Oct 10, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$1.00Oct 10, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$1.00Oct 10, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $1.00Oct 10, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?$1.00Oct 10, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$1.00Oct 10, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$1.00Oct 10, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$1.00Oct 10, 01:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.