Fair-Evolution
0x52e8247794c70bb81d8f11ceedc61699f3c9b1f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$304.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?
66514 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-384.78
- YES
Will there be less than 130,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
14507 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-43.52
- YES
Will Harris lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Nov 4?
13993 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-97.08
- YES
Will there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
13154 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-92.08
- YES
Will there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
12866 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-102.93
- YES
Will George W. Bush endorse Kamala Harris?
11006 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-430.33
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
9000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
8400 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
7000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
6587 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-388.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$4.00Nov 9, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$11.06Nov 9, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$82.00Nov 9, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.5KNov 5, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$196.89Nov 5, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$813.51Nov 5, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWho will Nate Silver predict to win the election?$1.4KNov 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?$50.00Nov 4, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?$49.98Nov 4, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$102.50Nov 4, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?$12.10Nov 4, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?$90.40Nov 4, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$102.50Nov 4, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?$20.41Nov 4, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.40Nov 4, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?$12.21Nov 4, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$12.21Nov 4, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?$50.00Nov 4, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$405.46Nov 4, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mitt Romney endorse Kamala?$0.32Nov 4, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $109.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".