Tight-Plea
0x52eb9e6ef9451dbb96741c1344f2eaba8a5d6fe3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-609.18
Realised
$1.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2882 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.18
- YES
Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?
1286 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- GAM
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. GAM
382 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-40.60
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
261 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
257 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.77
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
235 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-72.85
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
202 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-69.03
- YES
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
143 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- CLOUD9
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. FURIA
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
139 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.98Jun 17, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.80Jun 17, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next James Bond be British?$24.19Mar 14, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$27.40Mar 14, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$58.82Mar 14, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$60.01Mar 14, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$68.39Mar 14, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$100.00Mar 14, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$115.97Mar 14, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$10.00Nov 11, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.4KOct 28, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$65.09Oct 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$54.23Oct 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$18.08Oct 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$5.75Aug 7, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$0.50Aug 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$7.25Aug 5, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?$10.00Aug 1, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$40.00Aug 1, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$20.00Aug 1, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $56.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.