Violet-Fruit
0x53059e9bd59ac40a6f907878a014d784e9bc57b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$241.91
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$183.00
$15.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
103 shares @ 32.6¢·now 44.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$45.38
$11.96
- YES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.61
$-0.35
- YES
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
35 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.60
$-0.35
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
41 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.32
$-0.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
390 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
195 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- NO
Will England win on 2026-07-18?
168 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-18.45
- YES
Will France vs. England end in a draw?
125 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-29.97
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$3.25Jul 21, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$4.95Jul 21, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.62Jul 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$1.92Jul 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$3.59Jul 21, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$43.35Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$28.40Jul 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$1.52Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$2.83Jul 21, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$4.86Jul 20, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$4.74Jul 20, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.45Jul 20, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$3.15Jul 20, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$2.75Jul 20, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$20.55Jul 20, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$20.31Jul 20, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$9.91Jul 20, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$1.92Jul 20, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$1.31Jul 20, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$557.12Jul 20, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $22.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.