Formal-Wit
0x530cdc5f51556de9cacec2ab2f0aa1f93499285f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
3119 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
2832 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-84.17
- YES
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
1477 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-154.40
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
761 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-45.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
520 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-390.24
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on September 30?
402 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?
338 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-49.94
- YES
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
194 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Eminem be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$3.00Oct 28, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$7.00Oct 28, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$27.00Oct 13, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Oct 13, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$27.00Oct 13, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$11.17Oct 13, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$13.40Oct 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$24.57Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$390.24Oct 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$390.24Oct 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$68.29Oct 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$13.00Oct 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$81.28Oct 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$114.47Oct 13, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$73.57Oct 13, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$27.00Oct 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$67.90Oct 13, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$71.88Oct 13, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$5.00Oct 12, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$20.00Oct 12, 23:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $42.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".