Glorious-Subprime
0x530ec212965257627f7b03ca5f12c04e796346c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$113.11
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
17393 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$113.05
$9.04
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
41 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.06
$-14.84
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
31000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-62.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
23282 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-425.47
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
11255 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-215.20
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
4945 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-49.45
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
2164 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-116.76
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
2071 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-49.71
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
1896 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-129.67
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
1394 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19.09Mar 24, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.36Mar 24, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.64Mar 24, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.63Mar 24, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.13Mar 24, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.37Mar 24, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.12Mar 24, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.10Mar 24, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.56Mar 24, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.58Mar 24, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.59Mar 24, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.10Mar 24, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.43Mar 24, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.06Mar 24, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.07Mar 24, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.10Mar 24, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.02Mar 24, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.98Mar 24, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$15.00Dec 25, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 18:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".