0x531a7ba59ec68289e58905f5f38c4b77cff08681
0x531a7ba59ec68289e58905f5f38c4b77cff08681
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$351.46
Total PnL
$-194.51
Realised
$556.24
Win rate
42%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?
98 shares @ 75.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$97.52
$23.65
- YES
Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-27?
88 shares @ 36.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$88.44
$56.02
- YES
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?
35 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$35.00
$16.10
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$24.48
$23.01
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?
24 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$23.73
$6.41
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
20 shares @ 32.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$20.00
$13.56
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
14 shares @ 69.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.23
$4.31
- YES
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
13 shares @ 42.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$12.78
$7.37
- YES
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$10.00
$7.50
- YES
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.00
$3.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
36 closed markets, 42% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 08:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.