Immense-Gingerbread
0x531cff4679147208266be861c2d28ab1cdf306e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2292 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-571.20
- YES
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
664 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-203.00
- YES
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
356 shares @ 78.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-280.12
- YES
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?
240 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
59 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$16.23Mar 5, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$16.23Mar 5, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$14.78Mar 5, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$137.23Feb 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$333.99Feb 28, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$99.98Feb 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? $17.00Sep 2, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$280.12Sep 2, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?$203.00Sep 2, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$500.12Sep 2, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$503.61Sep 2, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$18.16Dec 5, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9.99Jan 23, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $177.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".