Grim-Chamber-Pinafore
0x5328200b3cf8c2e4b6e21e2de73f542db3f42d95
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$346.87
Total PnL
$-271.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
1422 shares @ 35.1¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$312.92
$-187.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 23?
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$28.19
$-21.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23?
606 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.76
$-14.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
160 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
61 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23?$21.35Jul 22, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 23?$51.85Jul 22, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$3.40Jul 22, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.30Jul 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$4.75Jul 22, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$10.58Jul 22, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.23Jul 22, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.29Jul 22, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$4.52Jul 22, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.05Jul 22, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$5.32Jul 21, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.33Jul 20, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.31Jul 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.29Jul 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5.24Jul 20, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$6.59Jul 20, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5.19Jul 20, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5.31Jul 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$512.97Jul 20, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $35.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.