Mature-Slump
0x533b3a569d622ef7cc0f27469cc95a90277c7c8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-175.03
Win rate
1%
155 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
1691 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
1265 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
790 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
765 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-265.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
472 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
325 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
292 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
254 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
204 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$53.24Aug 20, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$52.94Aug 20, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$53.01Aug 20, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$53.00Aug 20, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$169.38Aug 20, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$50.35Aug 20, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$50.56Aug 20, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$50.38Aug 20, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.00Aug 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$52.51Aug 20, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$52.55Aug 20, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$52.03Aug 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$52.07Aug 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$52.06Aug 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$52.16Aug 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$52.06Aug 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$52.03Aug 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$53.01Aug 20, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$52.31Aug 20, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$52.26Aug 20, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 155 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
155 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $69.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 155 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.