Elastic-Arrogance
0x533c046593e2841b7a8e9d251e4cce03e4fb9334
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$129.87
Total PnL
$-200.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$129.87
$29.87
- YES
French election called by October 10?
207 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
101 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
86 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$100.00Mar 20, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$78.52Nov 3, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$120.68Nov 3, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $400 before 2026?$1.01Oct 27, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$1.02Oct 27, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by October 17?$129.41Oct 20, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$40.00Oct 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$1.00Oct 13, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $400 before 2026?$1.00Oct 13, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 17?$110.00Oct 11, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?$48.72Oct 11, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$100.00Oct 10, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$186.79Oct 10, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?$40.00Oct 10, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$20.00Oct 9, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$64.57Oct 9, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$8.64Oct 9, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $40.00Oct 8, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 10?$10.00Oct 7, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $20.00Oct 7, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $53.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.