Velvety-Assignment
0x533d90b40584d1dab026448491c8d205de25b579
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$16.99
Win rate
76%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)
490 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
485 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- SHUAI ZHANG
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda Noskova
407 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-34.82
- OVER
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 15.5
243 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
147 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-17.62
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
143 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-32.69
- GONZALO VILLANUEVA
Santa Cruz: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Gonzalo Bueno
122 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- UNDER
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
73 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.34
- OVER
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
66 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.92
- ATLANTA BRAVES
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
56 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.66
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.43Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.76Jul 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.39Jul 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.68Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.11Jul 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.83Jul 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.88Jul 9, 00:48 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.36Jul 8, 00:55 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$52.82Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$47.50Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$45.08Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$27.49Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$55.43Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$75.11Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$77.82Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$60.18Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$56.46Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$46.83Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$31.45Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$50.35Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.