Constant-Paint
0x534256d3099a6a395953e60eefe607b9aafff7e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$40.86
Total PnL
$-2.03
Realised
$-2.89
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed abolished in 2025?
7 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.54
$0.14
- NO
Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
7 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.52
$0.12
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
6 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.10
$0.13
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
6 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.75
$0.15
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
6 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.52
$0.12
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.51
$0.11
- NO
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.34
$0.02
- NO
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.44
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$5.97Nov 13, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$5.93Nov 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.40Oct 10, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$5.75Oct 10, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?$1.24Oct 10, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$6.71Oct 10, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$6.60Aug 29, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$2.61Aug 29, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$5.45Aug 29, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$5.30Jul 16, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$906.76Jul 16, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$10.00Jul 15, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$37.66Jul 15, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$57.42Jul 15, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$99.00Jul 15, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$297.30Jul 15, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$356.40Jul 15, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$1.4KJul 15, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$900.00Jul 15, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.1KJul 15, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $310.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.