0x5344dcfd3beb2013701be5ae852a524c50297dc1
0x5344dcfd3beb2013701be5ae852a524c50297dc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$106.80
Total PnL
$9.17
Realised
$5.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
47 shares @ 49.6¢·now 66.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$30.94
$7.68
- YES
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 52.3¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.48
$3.48
- YES
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 36.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.46
$11.08
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
36 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$14.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
49 shares @ 27.8¢·now 20.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.19
$-3.34
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
29 shares @ 20.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$7.45
$1.33
- YES
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 13.7¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.92
$-0.30
- NO
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?
8 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$1.85Jul 24, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.98Jul 24, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$3.76Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$4.57Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$1.65Jul 23, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$4.67Jul 23, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$4.03Jul 23, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$4.58Jul 23, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$3.02Jul 23, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$4.58Jul 23, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$4.88Jul 23, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$6.07Jul 23, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$4.88Jul 23, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$4.75Jul 23, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$4.38Jul 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$5.53Jul 23, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$1.30Jul 23, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$5.13Jul 23, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$5.13Jul 23, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$5.13Jul 23, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 14:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.