Wallet profile

Hearty-Herb-Ottoman

0x53488dda8445733137ed1e0230abb7d0e56ae9d3

activity 36/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

36/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.8K

Realised

$-10.19

Win rate

20%

5 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

Recent activity

  • REFERRAL_REWARD$5.65Jul 22, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$2.14Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$5.23Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$4.52Jul 17, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$4.64Jul 16, 00:48 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$2.59Jul 15, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$4.71Jul 14, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$3.55Jul 13, 01:02 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$7.75Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$4.76Jul 11, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.65Jul 10, 00:35 UTC
  • TAKER_REBATE$6.58Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$2.41Jul 9, 00:48 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.18Jul 8, 00:55 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$7.01Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$9.15Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$11.80Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$12.52Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$8.74Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$9.20Jul 1, 00:35 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

21/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

Thin resolved sample

Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

20% win rate over 5 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity63 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence17 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry12 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk48 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
21
Avg trade size
$9.69
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 28, 00:26 UTC
Last active
Jul 22, 00:35 UTC
Win rate sample
5 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 02:57:23 UTC·src:Polymarket Data