Jubilant-Poker
0x5348b7cf979101886dd278d56460b8cb5d94e4ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$52.48
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$46.61
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
237 shares @ 8.4¢·now 10.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$25.48
$5.48
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
19770 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-142.09
- YES
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?
15398 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-29.98
- YES
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $100-108m?
12536 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-14.98
- YES
Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?
5146 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $108-116m?
3069 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?
2625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?
2508 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $59.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.