0x534bceb0651eaa0a993fa4b0f72d069655e76359
0x534bceb0651eaa0a993fa4b0f72d069655e76359
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.19
Realised
$-0.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 8?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 9?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?
25 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US strike Syria next?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
23 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on December 7?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$2.00Jan 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?$1.00Jan 14, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Syria next?$1.00Jan 14, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$2.92Jan 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?$0.86Jan 14, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?$8.00Jan 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?$1.00Jan 14, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$3.00Jan 14, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2AM ET$1.00Jan 4, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $2.10 December 29-January 4?$1.43Jan 4, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 4?$1.02Jan 4, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 4?$1.50Jan 4, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.10 December 29-January 4?$1.00Jan 4, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?$2.77Jan 4, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?$1.50Jan 3, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $130 on December 16?$1.70Dec 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 15?$1.78Dec 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 15?$1.97Dec 14, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.40Dec 9, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 11:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.