Half-Toga
0x534c9fd146e59a0f9577a9fbe71950e174cb6ad7
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$46.00
Total PnL
$-1.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
10 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.00
$0.19
- YES
Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$9.00
$3.96
- NO
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?
9 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$9.00
$3.60
- YES
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?
7 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$7.00
$2.38
- YES
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-08-24?
7 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$7.00
$3.15
- KO
Goff vs. Ko
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$4.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Malawi win on 2025-09-08?
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.14
- VALKYRIES
Mercury vs Valkyries
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.16
- MOVISTAR KOI
League of Legends: Movistar KOI Fénix vs. UCAM Esports Club
8 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.32
- KLEIN
UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Pulyaev
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$9.81May 22, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malawi win on 2025-09-08?$4.14Sep 8, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-08-24?$3.85Aug 24, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeague of Legends: Movistar KOI Fénix vs. UCAM Esports Club$4.32Aug 19, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Streaming" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$5.04Aug 11, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vienna host Eurovision 2026?$4.62Aug 8, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Pulyaev$2.40Aug 1, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMercury vs Valkyries$4.16Jul 14, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?$5.40Jul 5, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.08-1.12ºC in April 2025?$1.20Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in April?$1.20Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in April?$1.20Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$1.40Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in April?$1.40Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in April?$1.61Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jaguars make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.90Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?$2.31Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$2.40Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in May?$2.71Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gaitok die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?$8.00Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".