Drafty-Spouse
0x534f87c3f5b58441a108978fbb0ea8ce12bd4d83
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-129.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- WU
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wu
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?$34.19Jul 12, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$25.31Jul 12, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.23Jul 12, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 19, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$6.95Feb 16, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$2.13Feb 16, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$27.00Jan 26, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$5.60Jan 23, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wu$1.00Jan 22, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon M. Chu win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 22, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Somalia" or "Somalian" during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 22, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Medal" during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 22, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Olympics" during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 22, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Insurrection Act" during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 22, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$1.00Jan 22, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 23?$1.00Jan 22, 07:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 02:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.