0x535022e68a55290929917efe3caa6c0bbce59434
0x535022e68a55290929917efe3caa6c0bbce59434
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$514.79
Total PnL
$98.83
Realised
$19.60
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?
334 shares @ 48.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.81
$49.02
- NO
Will Colorado have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
299 shares @ 35.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 12, 2026$118.25
$10.76
- YES
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
856 shares @ 5.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.22
$16.19
- YES
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
76 shares @ 81.9¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.89
$-1.44
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?
134 shares @ 24.2¢·now 24.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.53
$0.13
- YES
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?
58 shares @ 18.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.45
$4.42
- YES
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 21.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.96
$0.04
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028?
2 shares @ 29.7¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jynxzi Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?$21.45Aug 13, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?$1.73Aug 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Aug 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?$1.05Aug 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?$32.32Aug 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jynxzi Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?$13.92Aug 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?$1.49Aug 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?$35.42Aug 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?$3.69Aug 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?$13.21Aug 13, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?$50.74Aug 13, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?$5.67Aug 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?$1.10Aug 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?$1.15Aug 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?$42.21Aug 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?$6.20Aug 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?$33.91Aug 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?$1.30Aug 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jynxzi Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?$2.64Aug 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jynxzi Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?$3.45Aug 13, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.