Old-Fashioned-Tumbler
0x535585bfe3f231029dbc2218263dc4be91bffae9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.05
Total PnL
$-393.20
Realised
$5.54
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
500 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
400 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-53.60
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
250 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-44.50
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
155 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?
140 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$90.00Dec 10, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$0.00Dec 10, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$0.00Dec 10, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?$0.00Dec 10, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 10, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?$0.00Dec 10, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?$49.99Dec 10, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$29.34Nov 11, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?$1.00Nov 11, 05:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$15.80Nov 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15.25Nov 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?$9.00Nov 9, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$8.02Nov 9, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$5.30Nov 9, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$1.50Nov 9, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?$1.20Nov 9, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?$0.99Nov 9, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?$0.96Nov 9, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $26.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 15:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".