Wallet digest

active

Activity score

78/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$5.00

Total PnL

$-104.57

Realised

$2.82

Win rate

100%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 17

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$5.00
$1.25
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 10PM ET
37 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-29.65
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
30 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026
$0.00
$-5.90
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
20 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026
$0.00
$-8.70
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
19 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026
$0.00
$-9.74
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$15.01May 13, 13:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$3.85May 13, 12:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$3.91May 13, 12:51 UTC
MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$10.00May 13, 12:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.72May 13, 12:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$5.58May 13, 12:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.49May 13, 12:46 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.65May 13, 12:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.65May 13, 12:45 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.75May 13, 12:39 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.65May 13, 12:35 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.00May 13, 12:32 UTC
SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$10.00May 13, 12:26 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.65May 11, 15:45 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.75May 11, 15:45 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.75May 11, 15:45 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.65May 11, 15:45 UTC
SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$10.00May 11, 15:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$0.43Apr 24, 12:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$2.57Apr 24, 12:10 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry82 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk70 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 39
Avg trade size: $3.50
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 4, 19:44 UTC
Last active: May 13, 13:12 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 18:40:23 UTC·src:Polymarket Data