Sneaky-Arm
0x53658df30e572ccffa0593653af5b7d7337c71fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-0.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
1000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$945.00
$35.00
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
111 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$81.67
$0.56
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$27.00May 21, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$116.61May 21, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$3.73May 21, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$10.00May 21, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$121.03May 21, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEM5kt meteor strike in 2025?$0.00Apr 8, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEM5kt meteor strike in 2025?$0.00Apr 8, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)$81.00Mar 26, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)$0.00Mar 26, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)$0.00Mar 26, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)$200.00Mar 26, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)$199.80Mar 24, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$2.0KMar 24, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)$57.51Mar 24, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$2.0KMar 22, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$700.39Feb 28, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$910.00Jan 6, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$18.00Jan 6, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$687.63Jan 6, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$20.00Jan 4, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $151.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.