Lasting-Well
0x536f8d9f96899e02d7f0a41cd211377496f0ca28
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$31.80
Total PnL
$617.92
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1154 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.46
$-11.54
- YES
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3806 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.32
$-20.93
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.02
$-1.98
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
1955 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-271.66
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1456 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-107.09
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
1300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1209 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
833 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-94.31
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
735 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.