Subdued-Beancurd
0x53729a2e5e83a20302bd3552790c71c162581fc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$12.22
Total PnL
$0.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say the "N word" in November?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$6.98
$0.42
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
3 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.87
$0.14
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Erdoğan out in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say the "N word" in November?$6.56Nov 19, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$2.24Nov 19, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMPump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?$4.32Nov 19, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.73Sep 20, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$2.00Sep 20, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.09Sep 20, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?$4.00Sep 6, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMPakistan strike on India before August?$1.02Sep 6, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: July$1.19Sep 6, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan strike on India before August?$1.00Jul 15, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYErdoğan out in 2025?$1.00Jul 15, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: July$1.00Jul 15, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Jul 15, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 15, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMPump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?$1.20Jul 15, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow airdrop in Q2 2025?$1.22Jul 15, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in Q2 2025?$1.43Jul 15, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?$1.00Apr 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow airdrop in Q2 2025?$1.00Apr 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinea airdrop in Q2 2025?$1.00Apr 28, 21:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 19:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.