Immediate-Legitimacy
0x5378564ece28553e8212a66a12c014fef072fa69
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$463.15
Total PnL
$-324.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$200.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$200.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$30.00
$0.18
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
20 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.91
$0.16
- NO
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.02
$0.02
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
21 shares @ 82.4¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.92
$-15.68
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
333 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Bulls
110 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-44.60
- ENGLAND
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
46 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
39 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$200.01Jul 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?$200.01Jul 29, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$29.82Jul 29, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$300.30Jul 29, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$910.91Jul 29, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$910.05Jul 27, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$300.01Jul 26, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1.2KJul 26, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$7.60Jul 25, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1.2KJul 25, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$20.41Jul 25, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$100.20Jul 25, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$19.75Jul 24, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$20.02Jul 24, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$100.01Jul 24, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.05Jul 24, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 21?$30.00Jul 22, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,100 on July 21?$849.40Jul 22, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 on July 21?$848.61Jul 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 21?$19.94Jul 22, 02:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $198.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.