Sad-Folk-Federation
0x537cfa5e35f454efdd0655551d6a7db014d81c5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$65.58
Total PnL
$-2.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.21
$0.21
- YES
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?
9 shares @ 88.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
9 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.65
$-0.04
- YES
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.06
$1.06
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.04
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1.98Jun 14, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$5.04Jun 14, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$7.94Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?$3.00Jun 13, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$5.01Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.03Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$2.01Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$4.65Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$1.70Jun 11, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?$1.28Jun 11, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$4.02Jun 11, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?$1.01Jun 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?$1.03Jun 11, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next PMQ?$1.00Jun 11, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?$1.00Jun 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "World Cup" during the next PMQ?$1.00Jun 11, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?$5.00Jun 11, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?$5.00Jun 11, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.