Prime-Veal
0x537d1ac504aeeca10cc12636c533a9d0461d8d16
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-548.53
Realised
$3.19
Win rate
50%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
200 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
162 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-9.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
126 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
69 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
66 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-18.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
65 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
61 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
59 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-24.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$3.05Jun 23, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.75Jun 23, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.20Jun 23, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.00Jun 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.35Jun 23, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$5.00Jun 22, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.70Jun 22, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.77Jun 21, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.29Jun 21, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.07Jun 21, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.07Jun 21, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.06Jun 21, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.06Jun 21, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.05Jun 21, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.13Jun 21, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.07Jun 21, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.85Jun 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.06Jun 21, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.04Jun 21, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.30Jun 21, 13:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.