Warlike-Duration
0x5382808d255419b9bbe6c41e2bd149f5d8ada718
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?
429 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
124 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-8.11
- YES
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?
109 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.41
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSouth Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?$1.00Aug 10, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?$1.41Aug 10, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 31?$1.25Aug 8, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 5?$1.16Aug 6, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$8.11Aug 3, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 31?$1.00Aug 3, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$1.00Aug 3, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 5?$1.00Aug 3, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?$1.11Jul 31, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 23:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.