0x5384cd24b6e936e9bb209f7e021071ce81d105af
0x5384cd24b6e936e9bb209f7e021071ce81d105af
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-216.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2381 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
146 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
107 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say "tampon" during New York rally on October 27?
70 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-7.11
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
42 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during New York rally on October 27?
35 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
31 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?
28 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.83
- NO
Will Trump say "Armenia" or "Azerbaijan" 12+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?
27 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-14.57
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
25 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$17.50Feb 25, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$17.49Feb 9, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$8.58Feb 8, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBig Game: First Team To Score$8.40Feb 8, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$4.40Feb 8, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$7.18Feb 8, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: First Team To Score$5.00Feb 8, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$3.20Feb 8, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$13.50Jan 29, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by January 31?$13.50Jan 29, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by January 31?$12.03Jan 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$11.42Jan 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$31.00Jan 11, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMRavens vs. Steelers$31.25Jan 5, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRavens vs. Steelers$10.00Jan 5, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$1.70Nov 5, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$20.00Nov 5, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$20.00Nov 5, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$51.64Nov 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$79.91Oct 30, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $41.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".