Burly-Civilian
0x5386c4bac77904376434f296ab5a3fd6074de996
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$107.49
Total PnL
$6.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
21 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
15 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$15.47
$0.47
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
12 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$11.50
$1.50
- NO
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$11.49
$1.49
- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.78
$0.78
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.68
$0.68
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.51
$0.51
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$0.40
- NO
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$10.06May 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $5.02May 12, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$5.01May 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.01May 12, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$10.04May 12, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.04May 12, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.02May 10, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMX banned in U.K. by March 31?$5.24May 10, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?$10.33May 10, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.99May 10, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?$20.16May 10, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.00Apr 24, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Apr 24, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 24, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 24, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?$10.00Feb 5, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?$20.00Feb 5, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.00Feb 5, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYX banned in U.K. by March 31?$5.00Feb 5, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $8.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.