0x538c9c7bd26af5c1f3862f7679c74a1e05a3c054
0x538c9c7bd26af5c1f3862f7679c74a1e05a3c054
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1AM ET$12.00Nov 17, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1AM ET$5.88Aug 7, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1AM ET$0.49Aug 7, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1AM ET$5.39Aug 7, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 2AM ET$13.85Jul 18, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 2AM ET$1.81Jul 17, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 2AM ET$4.70Jul 17, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$2.25Jul 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$2.40Jul 15, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 11PM ET$0.00Jul 15, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 2AM ET$0.01Jul 15, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 11PM ET$0.12Jul 11, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 11PM ET$0.18Jul 11, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 11PM ET$0.90Jul 11, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 11PM ET$1.40Jul 11, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 11PM ET$4.10Jul 11, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 11PM ET$7.20Jul 11, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 9PM ET$0.00Jul 11, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 8PM ET$12.00Jul 11, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 9PM ET$0.05Jul 11, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.