0x538fb84479863a712d46813304519551f5d628ba
0x538fb84479863a712d46813304519551f5d628ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$-55.67
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
758 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-21.32
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
306 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-39.74
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
215 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.35
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
211 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-37.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
208 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-75.42
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
192 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-39.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
174 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-43.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
166 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-48.27
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
151 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$10.26Jul 16, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$5.22Jul 16, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$4.47Jul 16, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.82Jul 16, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$3.52Jul 16, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$24.56Jul 16, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$10.07Jul 16, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$10.50Jul 16, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$5.10Jul 16, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$24.68Jul 16, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$10.04Jul 16, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$6.27Jul 16, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$6.61Jul 16, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$6.57Jul 16, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.