Hot-Obligation
0x53a4a7cb33d6b258f42a4dd1209f973ddc34b411
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-205.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on May 6?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on May 6?
400 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on May 7?
293 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-24.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on May 6?
291 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-6.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 14?
155 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
134 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on May 8?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2025$0.00
$-24.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 65-66°F on May 6?
100 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on May 5?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS-EU trade deal before June?$25.00May 15, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?$24.09May 15, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 14?$20.00May 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on May 12?$20.00May 12, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 69-70°F on May 10?$14.70May 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on May 9?$213.71May 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on May 9?$16.71May 9, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on May 9?$16.71May 9, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on May 9?$116.58May 9, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on May 9?$77.68May 9, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on May 9?$1.00May 8, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 8?$6.00May 8, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on May 9?$35.33May 8, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on May 9?$15.00May 8, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on May 8?$96.23May 8, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?$8.45May 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on May 9?$50.00May 8, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on May 9?$49.41May 8, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 8?$1.00May 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on May 8?$9.12May 8, 15:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $27.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".