Tragic-Kettle
0x53a617e57fe9863546cb780d8b576c213ad59f7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-78.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?
547 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
180 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
168 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Mark Carney at the World Economic Forum?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hog" during Iowa speech?
114 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-35.29
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Isaac Herzog at the World Economic Forum?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?
105 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
66 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
60 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will J.D. Vance say "Trump" during the March for Life?
24 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?$1.82Mar 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.56Mar 10, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$0.00Jan 31, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$0.00Jan 31, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hog" during Iowa speech?$35.29Jan 27, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$5.00Jan 26, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$10.00Jan 26, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$3.00Jan 24, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Mark Carney at the World Economic Forum?$1.00Jan 23, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Isaac Herzog at the World Economic Forum?$1.00Jan 23, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance say "Trump" during the March for Life?$3.00Jan 22, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$5.00Jan 22, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?$6.00Jan 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.00Jan 22, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?$6.00Jan 22, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.00Jan 22, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?$70.30Jan 22, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 21, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$12.00Jan 19, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?$20.00Jan 19, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $10.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 07:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".