Jolly-Gerbil
0x53addbef42e02dfc2e4a75e400ad23badc0d4629
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.25
Total PnL
$-25.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 78.4¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.25
$0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on May 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 2?
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 3?
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 2?
37 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 2?
36 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?
34 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 2?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 3?
23 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 2?$0.84May 2, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 2?$0.04May 1, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 2?$0.01May 1, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 2?$0.29May 1, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 2?$0.29May 1, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 2?$0.12May 1, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 3?$2.08May 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 3?$2.16May 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 3?$2.18May 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on May 2?$2.16May 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 2?$0.36May 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 2?$0.82May 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 2?$2.12May 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 2?$0.44May 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?$2.14May 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 2?$2.13May 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 1?$2.10May 1, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on May 1?$2.10May 1, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 2?$0.25May 1, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 2?$2.11May 1, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.