Muted-Tourist
0x53b480df4a4d5227a5d6deb58e844548f5bd0139
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$13.35
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$3.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
30 shares @ 17.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.35
$8.25
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
8000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?
4314 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?
2100 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-292.48
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
867 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-21.79
- YES
Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?
529 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-145.06
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
430 shares @ 79.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-340.09
- YES
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?
421 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-98.34
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
400 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?$63.95Feb 2, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$109.28Jan 30, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$31.50Jan 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLRobinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?$31.64Jan 28, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$9.85Jan 28, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$21.65Jan 28, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRobinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?$32.00Jan 28, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?$256.49Jan 27, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$105.00Jan 27, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?$18.09Jan 26, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMZama auction clearing price above $0.05?$52.50Jan 26, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.05?$52.40Jan 26, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$52.14Jan 25, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$39.60Jan 25, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$19.80Jan 25, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$78.00Jan 25, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$139.18Jan 25, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$79.00Jan 25, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$78.30Jan 24, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$7.30Jan 24, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $55.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.