Crafty-Tolerant-Conservative
0x53b490922191cc583a03890dc5844e470e08cef0
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-18.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
578 shares @ 89.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$517.22
$-1.47
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
235 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$168.03
$-1.17
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
210 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$145.93
$-1.07
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
160 shares @ 85.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$140.00
$2.80
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
200 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$134.99
$-1.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
140 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$109.90
$-0.70
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$100.75
$0.65
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
110 shares @ 82.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$86.34
$-3.85
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
130 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$82.55
$-1.95
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
110 shares @ 71.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$75.35
$-2.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.66May 30, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$170.62May 28, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$30.00May 28, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$120.00May 28, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026?$20.28May 27, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?$16.80May 27, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$11.91May 27, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$97.85May 27, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$7.84May 27, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.89May 27, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.89May 27, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.89May 27, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.89May 27, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$3.29May 27, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.89May 26, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.89May 26, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.89May 26, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.89May 26, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.89May 26, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$0.89May 26, 15:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $23.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".