Afraid-Margin
0x53cf16c971f9385044b050e4efc20219259002fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.49
Total PnL
$-0.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 17?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 14?
28 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 18?
11 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 16?$0.00Mar 16, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.00Mar 15, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 14?$0.00Mar 15, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 18?$1.00Mar 15, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.02Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.39Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.08Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.40Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.03Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.03Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.08Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.07Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.07Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.04Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.16Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$1.97Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.13Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.10Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$1.37Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16?$0.02Mar 15, 06:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 10:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.