0x53d51bfa997b02e146d3e5ceb7802bd42ff9fb93
0x53d51bfa997b02e146d3e5ceb7802bd42ff9fb93
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$15.76
Total PnL
$0.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.79
$0.81
- YES
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.22
$0.12
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.12
$0.17
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
3 shares @ 75.5¢·now 77.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.96
$0.06
- YES
Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.90
$-0.05
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 25.3¢·now 23.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of July 27 2026?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.55
$-0.34
- YES
Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.38
$-0.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.00Jul 28, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting?$1.64Jul 28, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?$3.05Jul 27, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.04Jul 27, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of July 27 2026?$1.93Jul 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?$2.01Jul 26, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$1.95Jul 26, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$1.92Jul 25, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?$2.01Jul 25, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$2.72Jul 25, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$2.53Jul 25, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?$2.14Jul 24, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$2.03Jul 24, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.07Jul 23, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?$1.98Jul 23, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?$0.00Jul 23, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$1.87Jul 22, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?$1.59Jul 22, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.