Kind-Thread
0x53e041c836cbbf64c849a87136692c3879b63814
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.02
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump issue an executive order on February 23?$1.00Feb 26, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMSC State vs. MD Eastern Shore$1.11Feb 26, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMLipscomb vs. Austin Peay$1.32Feb 26, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.04Feb 24, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLipscomb vs. Austin Peay$1.00Feb 24, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue an executive order on February 23?$1.00Feb 24, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?$1.00Feb 24, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreens win over 15% of vote in German election? $1.00Feb 24, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSC State vs. MD Eastern Shore$1.00Feb 24, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Feb 24, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $1b and $1.5b on Feb 21?$1.00Feb 24, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February 20?$1.00Feb 24, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $200 on February 21?$1.02Feb 24, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?$1.05Feb 24, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok be #1 Free app on Friday?$1.08Feb 24, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $200 on February 21?$1.00Feb 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $1b and $1.5b on Feb 21?$1.00Feb 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February 20?$1.00Feb 20, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok be #1 Free app on Friday?$1.00Feb 20, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $8.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.