Conventional-Gesture
0x53edcfa1e81bae084e936954ff905d894adf7aea
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$220.14
Total PnL
$30.34
Realised
$-0.48
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
15 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.00
$0.09
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
15 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.00
$1.75
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
15 shares @ 83.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.00
$2.50
- NO
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
10 shares @ 81.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$1.87
- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
10 shares @ 80.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$1.95
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
10 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.86
- NO
US forces in Yemen in 2025?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.90
- NO
Macron out in 2025?
10 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.95
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$10.00
$8.70
- NO
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
10 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$1.44Jan 3, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.54Jan 3, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.59Jan 3, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$4.70Jan 3, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Swimmingly" in December?$2.02Jan 1, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$2.00Jan 1, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Swimmingly" in December?$4.97Jan 1, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$2.50Jan 1, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?$2.50Jan 1, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$2.10Jan 1, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Board of Peace" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$1.58Jan 1, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in December?$3.98Jan 1, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$4.95Dec 31, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$1.82Dec 31, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sucker" or "Sucked" in December?$1.96Dec 31, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$9.96Dec 31, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Tomahawk" during Ukraine President events on December 28?$2.00Dec 30, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Democrat shutdown" in December?$2.00Dec 30, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?$5.00Dec 30, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?$5.00Dec 30, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".