Sarcastic-Football
0x53efb53f15a6b3a9607c171b4a82a4a7cce7cd23
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.79
Total PnL
$-9.88
Realised
$0.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.57
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
7 shares @ 57.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
4 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.58
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Fedex (FDX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?$1.00Dec 1, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?$1.08Oct 27, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?$1.18Oct 27, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?$1.00Oct 8, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$1.00Oct 8, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$1.00Oct 3, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$3.00Oct 3, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Sumy before October?$5.11Oct 1, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 27, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: September$1.05Sep 19, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: September$1.00Sep 19, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on Poland by September 30?$1.08Sep 19, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?$1.00Sep 16, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fedex (FDX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.00Sep 15, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.00Sep 15, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?$1.00Sep 15, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by September 30?$1.00Sep 15, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.27Sep 15, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?$2.13Sep 15, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before July?$0.00Jul 3, 07:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.