Strange-Jazz
0x53fd2d3425c3100967f1b92ce6b54f38cc87d420
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-569.12
Realised
$7.36
Win rate
100%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
100 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
85 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
70 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
70 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
40 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.10
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
33 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
30 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
30 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.96Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.57Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.94Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.88Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.96Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.49Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.45Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.51Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.49Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.25Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.30Jul 29, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.35Jul 29, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$4.80Jul 29, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$4.90Jul 29, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.93Jul 29, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.87Jul 29, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$4.89Jul 29, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.05Jul 29, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.92Jul 29, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.