That-Moth
0x53fe50f06acd2a1397a3cdb6091ee6fcf53d2e11
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-6.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2832 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.8K
$-1.42
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
77 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$77.00
$0.08
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
26 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.54
$0.17
- YES
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.34
$0.44
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6123 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.18
$-3.06
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5522 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.28
$-2.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.31May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.31May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.31May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11.47May 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$94.70May 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$26.71May 15, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$40.53May 15, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$17.57May 15, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.00May 14, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.00May 14, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.00May 14, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$40.42May 14, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$61.77May 14, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.52May 14, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$67.77May 14, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$76.93May 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$25.40May 14, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.8KMay 14, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$133.03May 14, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $214.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".