0x5400eae7fd1cca4c6edb72d0745c18a433551342
0x5400eae7fd1cca4c6edb72d0745c18a433551342
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.50
Total PnL
$-30.8K
Realised
$2.5K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.50
$-47.50
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
30468 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 6?
13840 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 24?
9321 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-471.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?
9281 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.28
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 8?
8883 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-245.79
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 27?
8814 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-181.66
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 16?
8705 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-481.81
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?
8346 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-680.51
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 9?
7938 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-576.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$26.73Jun 29, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$14.08Jun 29, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$15.31Jun 29, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$5.33Jun 24, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$31.91Jun 24, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$16.98Jun 24, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$17.06Jun 24, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2PM ET$5.27Jun 24, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$50.00Jun 24, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$62.86Jun 24, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$5.30May 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.19May 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.19May 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?$58.01May 12, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?$19.18May 12, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$22.84May 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$61.29May 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$24.74May 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$198.19May 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$15.68May 8, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $31.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.