Somber-Offering
0x54040dd5e54853cfd45ea8dc78fc347462736875
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$37.15
Total PnL
$11.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
35 shares @ 57.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$35.04
$15.04
- YES
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DUCKS
Ducks vs. Capitals
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- WILD
Wild vs. Kings
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.00Jan 5, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.00Jan 5, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Kings$1.00Jan 5, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Capitals$1.00Jan 5, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?$20.00Jan 5, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$6.33Jan 5, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$11.36Jan 5, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 10, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 10, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?$13.08Sep 9, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?$3.40Aug 30, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$10.00Aug 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$4.56Aug 30, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$6.86Aug 30, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.98Aug 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$3.24Jul 7, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$4.00Jul 7, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Jul 7, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.36Jul 7, 10:57 UTC
- SPLITWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Jul 7, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 16:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.