Livid-Sideboard
0x5408f435a820b1daa01b6a6ec8cadcc5b94e590f
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$33.10
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- QATAR
Spread: Qatar (-3.5)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
600 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.24
- QATAR
Spread: Qatar (-1.5)
526 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
469 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.72
- QATAR
Spread: Qatar (-2.5)
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?
388 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
264 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
234 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-24.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
183 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
180 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$51.57Jun 19, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$103.17Jun 19, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00Jun 19, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$67.18Jun 19, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$34.95Jun 19, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$51.68Jun 19, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$6.56Jun 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$10.31Jun 19, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$54.43Jun 19, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$51.33Jun 19, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$21.75Jun 19, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$20.64Jun 19, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$10.39Jun 19, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-5.5)$12.22Jun 18, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-4.5)$13.27Jun 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-1.5)$1.03Jun 18, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-2.5)$3.09Jun 18, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-3.5)$7.18Jun 18, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$3.09Jun 18, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-2.5)$7.19Jun 18, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $19.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.